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Of leaders and loons

October 17, 2010

Leaders and nice but quirky loons have something in common. They’re generally not standing in the middle of the crowd mulling about. Both leaders and loons are at the fringe of the crowd – standing somewhat apart from the muddled middle.

Both leaders and loons see the world differently from the crowd. The primary difference between the two is whether they have a compelling vision that the balanced, rational population want to follow or not. Unfortunately, many leaders have to break the crowd out of madness – examples chronicled here in a book entitled “Extraordinary Popular Delusions and the Madness of Crowds.”

Thad said: there is another book called “The Wisdom of Crowds: Why the Many Are Smarter Than the Few and How Collective Wisdom Shapes Business, Economies Societies and Nations” which documents an entirely different phenomena. More like the way Linux manages to move forward as a collective development effort, there is more wisdom in the crowd than there is in a few ‘really smart individual decision makers.’

If the elections do flip the House and the Senate – will the White House change course, whether because there is wisdom in crowds, or because the officials in the White House were elected to represent the voters (as opposed to dragging voters kicking and screaming to an end point they don’t want, no matter how ‘intelligent’ it appears)?

Highly unlikely.

“There is probably a perverse pride in my administration — and I take responsibility for this; this was blowing from the top — that we were going to do the right thing, even if short-term it was unpopular….” “The view from inside the administration starts with a basic mantra,” Baker writes. “Obama inherited the worst problems of any president in years. Or in generations. Or in American history.”

Another article, Valerie Jarrett tells Obama “keep the course and everyone will appreciate you later

Regardless of whether you agree with the voters who appear ready to change the course in Washington, it is unlikely that Obama and his White House will ‘do a Clinton-esque move’ and tack right.

The question is not CAN Obama change his policy end goals. The real question : Is Obama is so committed to his own individual intelligence and HIS vision of the end state that he is unable or unwilling to change his policies….does he believe he is the ‘savior’ to break the fog of delusion in the crowds’ madness?

When you’re leading and no one is following, you’re no longer a leader. You’re an outlier….

Note:  the “bishop” and queen make increasingly erratic moves when the knights and pawns have been taken…. January 2011 will get interesting, regardless of the outcome on November 3rd

One Comment leave one →
  1. October 18, 2010 7:13 pm

    >>When you’re leading and no one is following, you’re no longer a leader. You’re an outlier….

    Well,you got the “liar” part right. 😉


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